Fish Newy Blog

Nah. Too windy.

19 July 2026 · 3 min read

Ask a fisho what they make of a windy day. You get one answer, and you get it quickly. Nah. Too windy.

My site disagreed with every one of them. My site was wrong.

Golden-day alerts went live on 5 July. Over the first fourteen days an email went out on eleven of them. For something whose whole promise is that it does not happen often, that is not a signal. That is a newsletter.

So I went looking for why, and found the scoring liked a blowy day, as long as it could find you a corner tucked out of the wind. Shelter was rewarded so well that a windy day with one good corner could outrank a still, glassy morning.

Which is a reasonable answer to the wrong question. Where is the best spot today is allowed to love the sheltered corner, because on that day it genuinely is the best spot. Is today special is a different question, and it should have said no.

What I changed

Calm days now get the credit they always deserved. Shelter on a windy day counts as damage limitation rather than a bonus.

Before shipping it I replayed a full year of conditions through the old scoring and the new, then replayed that first fortnight. Three days would have made the cut instead of eleven, all on Lake Macquarie, the pick of them Sunday 12 July at Croudace Bay with the bream on. Three genuinely good days inside a fortnight of decent winter fishing, and quiet the rest of the time.

That feels about right. Ask me again in spring.

What the alert actually is

A golden day is the rare one where tide, moon, light, weather and season land in the same window. The site has always shown those windows to anyone who looked. Not everyone looks at a fishing site before breakfast, so now it sends one short email, at least a day ahead, for the water you pick: all of Newcastle, all of Lake Mac, both, or a single spot.

It says when, where, what to chase and why the day works. Free, and the unsubscribe link is one click that actually works. Sign up here if you want it.

Most weeks you will hear nothing. That silence is the product.

What goes into the call, and what does not

The site scores every spot it knows, around the clock, a week out. Tide, and not just high or low but whether the water will be moving or turning while you are standing there. Moon phase and the feeding windows. First and last light. Wind against each spot's own geography, because a southerly that wrecks the beaches can leave a harbour corner glassy. Swell, which on a rock platform is a safety question long before it is a fishing one. Water temperature against what each species wants. Season, recent rain, and what that rain does to the clarity.

How those get weighed against each other I keep to myself. Not because it is clever. It is local patterns turned into numbers and corrected whenever the water proves them wrong, which as of this month it has.

An alert is the odds lining up, not a promise. Fish cannot read forecasts, and the bloke who has fished his spot for thirty years will read a day better than any dataset of mine. If one calls a dud, or misses a cracker, tell me. That is how the numbers get better, and it is the only way I find out.

What I am watching for

Whether the new bar holds through winter into spring, because warmer water moves what a good day looks like. And whether the calm, glassy mornings the old scoring undervalued start turning up as golden days.

If the fishos are right, and on this one they clearly were, that is where the crackers have been hiding.

Reiner
Right now you'll mostly find me at Belmont Wharf.

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